Under the Radar Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for 9/6/17

Via our friends at numberFire.

If you’ve played daily fantasy sports for a while, you realize by now the importance of being a contrarian, especially in large-field tournaments. Recognizing which players are going to be owned by the majority of the field, and finding players who you think have a similar point projection but will come at much lower ownership can really separate you from your opponents.

The purpose of this article is to bring you some high-risk, high-reward players who will likely go overlooked and can give you an edge.

Doug Fister, SP, Boston Red Sox

FanDuel Price: $7,800

Why He Will Go Overlooked:

Tonight’s main slate isn’t filled with a wealth of great pitching options, and that means Carlos Carrasco is likely to be a heavily-owned option. He is one of only two pitchers priced above $9,000 (Gio Gonzalez is the other), and the Cleveland Indians, winners of 13 straight games, are heavy favorites (money line of -275) on Wednesday.

Bouncing from the Los Angeles Angels‘ Triple-A affiliate over to the Boston Red Sox and sporting a 4.69 SIERA at the major league level this year, Doug Fister may be a bit overlooked.

Why You Should Use Him:

Well traveled this season, Fister has been quietly brilliant over his last six turns, making Sox fans and fantasy owners forget that rough start. In his last 41 1/3 innings pitched, the right-hander has fired a 3.05 ERA and whiffed 21.6% of hitters while racking up a ground-ball rate of 54.9%.

Tonight, he will get the added benefit of facing a slumping Toronto Blue Jays team, who have posted a 21.8% strikeout rate and a .303 wOBA (21st in baseball) over the past two weeks.

Ketel Marte, SS, Arizona Diamondbacks

FanDuel Price: $2,500

Why He Will Go Overlooked:

During the Indians’ 13-game winning streak, Francisco Lindor has been a consistent force. He’s posted 9.0-plus FanDuel points in seven of his last nine contests and is likely to be a hot commodity tonight.

Spending the majority of this season in Triple-A (338 plate appearances), Ketel Marte of the Arizona Diamondbacks may be a low-owned option up the middle on a full slate.

Why You Should Use Him:

Even though Marte hasn’t been in the big leagues very long (172 plate appearances), he’s made the most of his opportunity to play because of injuries to both Chris Owings and Nick Ahmed.

The switch-hitter has been stronger from the left-hand side of the plate in 2017 (99 wRC+ versus 91 as a righty), and he will face righty Kenta Maeda tonight. The Los Angeles Dodgers starter has struggled with the long ball recently — he’s allowed seven jacks over his last five starts, and 1.42 homers per nine innings pitched this year. He does generate plenty of strikeouts (24.7% strikeout rate in ’17), but Marte gives us some cheap exposure to a team that’s also rolling at the moment (Arizona has won 12 straight).

Sean Rodriguez, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates

FanDuel Price: $2,000

Why He Will Go Overlooked:

With one of the highest implied team totals on the slate (5.56 runs), Boston Red Sox outfielder Andrew Benintendi is sure to be heavily owned, and for good reason. The young outfielder has socked his way to a .979 OPS in August and will face struggling hurler Joe Biagini (5.01 ERA in 97 innings pitched).

Missing most of this season (only 109 plate appearances) thanks to a shoulder injury suffered in a car accident, Sean Rodriguez is not likely to be a popular choice in the outfield with so many other options available.

Why You Should Use Him:

Rodriguez has shown during his career that he is typically stronger with the platoon advantage, and he will get just that by facing Jose Quintana of the Chicago Cubs tonight. Quintana has struggled for his new team — in August, he generated a ton of strikeouts (25.3% whiff rate), but also recorded a 5.73 ERA while allowing six homers.

A good example of how Rodriguez performs against southpaws happened during the 2016 season. In 94 plate appearances with the platoon advantage, he posted a 152 wRC+ with a 50.0% hard-hit rate and 37.5% fly-ball rate.

Continue reading at numberFire.com… (@numberfire)


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